Procurement Analysis · Cascade

Paint Reorder Analysis

Source: TrackVia — PO Header General · Window: Dec 15, 2025 – Jun 16, 2026 (trailing 6 months) · Prepared Jun 16, 2026

The concern is real and worth acting on. Painters running short on paint slows jobs, and a proposal has been raised to add 15% to paint quantity on every color to reduce reorders. This analysis looks at what the order history shows so we can land on the most effective fix.

What the data suggests: a flat 15% bump across every color is likely more than the pattern calls for. Paint is reordered on about 23.7% of orders (roughly 1 in 4), reorders are concentrated in a single high-volume supplier, and a portion stem from order-entry errors a quantity buffer wouldn't address. A more targeted approach should reduce shortages at lower cost — the rest of this report lays out where.

23.7%
Paint reorder rate (423 of 1,788 paint POs)
16.8%
Reorders as a share of paint dollars ($123K of $728K)
$109K
Cost of a 15% bump on all paint (6 mo) — vs. $123K total reorder spend
61%
of paint POs flow through one branch (SW American Fork)

1 · Paint type is not a factor

Both paint product lines reorder at essentially the same rate, so there is nothing to fix by switching or adjusting a specific type. Super Satin is the workhorse at ~93% of paint volume.

Paint typeOriginal itemsReorder itemsReorder share
Super Satin3,03367118.1%
A-100 Satin2264817.5%

2 · Reorders concentrate at one supplier — by volume, not by fault

Sherwin-Williams American Fork handles the majority of paint and therefore carries the majority of reorder dollars. Its reorder rate (19.5%) is below the 6-month average, so it isn't a uniquely bad vendor — it's simply where the volume is, which makes it the right place to tighten ordering practices.

SupplierPaint POsReordersRateReorder $
SW – American Fork1,09321319.5% $91,083
SW – Ogden1363122.8% $7,310
SW – Washington1051716.2% $1,787
SW – St George841416.7% $1,388
SW – Orem631828.6% $2,955
SW – Spanish Fork321443.8% $1,275
SW – Saratoga Springs301860.0% $2,534
SW – Tooele28932.1% $701
SW – Logan27622.2% $1,618
SW – South Jordan24937.5% $1,370
Cascade Warehouse241666.7% $1,506
SW – Payson231460.9% $1,592
SW – Riverton20630.0% $616
SW – Heber19842.1% $1,061
SW – Grand Junction, CO19526.3% $3,494
SW – West Jordan18844.4% $1,055

Showing branches with 15+ paint POs. Several very-low-volume branches show 100% rates on 1–3 orders — statistical noise, excluded from interpretation.

3 · A few small branches short far above average

Distinct from the volume story, these low-volume branches reorder 40–67% of the time. The dollars are small, but rates that high suggest a systematic under-ordering or process issue worth a direct look:

BranchPaint POsReorder rate
Cascade Warehouse2466.7%
SW – Payson2360.9%
SW – Saratoga Springs3060.0%
SW – West Jordan1844.4%
SW – Spanish Fork3243.8%
SW – Heber1942.1%

4 · What a 15% bump would and wouldn't fix

A natural question is whether a 15% buffer simply pays for itself by eliminating reorders. The two are close in size — but they aren't interchangeable. A bump adds paint to every order; reorders happen on only about 1 in 4, and only the shortage portion could be prevented by ordering more up front.

Cost of a 15% bump — applied to all paint orders$109K
added paint cost (6 mo)
Current reorder spend — what we actually spend today$123K
$83K shortages
$40K plan errors / unlogged
Bump cost spreads across 100% of orders  ·  Reorder spend a buffer could reduce (shortages)  ·  Reorder spend a buffer can't touch
The 15% bump (~$109K / 6 mo) is about the size of all reorder spend, yet it could only ever offset the $83K shortage slice — and only partly, since it also lands on the ~76% of orders that never run short, where the extra paint becomes leftover. Reorder dollars buy paint that gets used on the job; bump dollars are spent up front whether the job needs them or not.

Breaking the $123K of six-month reorder spend down by reason:

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Reorder reason