The concern is real and worth acting on. Painters running short on paint slows jobs, and a proposal has been raised to add 15% to paint quantity on every color to reduce reorders. This analysis looks at what the order history shows so we can land on the most effective fix.
What the data suggests: a flat 15% bump across every color is likely more than the pattern calls for. Paint is reordered on about 23.7% of orders (roughly 1 in 4), reorders are concentrated in a single high-volume supplier, and a portion stem from order-entry errors a quantity buffer wouldn't address. A more targeted approach should reduce shortages at lower cost — the rest of this report lays out where.
Both paint product lines reorder at essentially the same rate, so there is nothing to fix by switching or adjusting a specific type. Super Satin is the workhorse at ~93% of paint volume.
| Paint type | Original items | Reorder items | Reorder share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Satin | 3,033 | 671 | 18.1% |
| A-100 Satin | 226 | 48 | 17.5% |
Sherwin-Williams American Fork handles the majority of paint and therefore carries the majority of reorder dollars. Its reorder rate (19.5%) is below the 6-month average, so it isn't a uniquely bad vendor — it's simply where the volume is, which makes it the right place to tighten ordering practices.
| Supplier | Paint POs | Reorders | Rate | Reorder $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW – American Fork | 1,093 | 213 | 19.5% | $91,083 |
| SW – Ogden | 136 | 31 | 22.8% | $7,310 |
| SW – Washington | 105 | 17 | 16.2% | $1,787 |
| SW – St George | 84 | 14 | 16.7% | $1,388 |
| SW – Orem | 63 | 18 | 28.6% | $2,955 |
| SW – Spanish Fork | 32 | 14 | 43.8% | $1,275 |
| SW – Saratoga Springs | 30 | 18 | 60.0% | $2,534 |
| SW – Tooele | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | $701 |
| SW – Logan | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | $1,618 |
| SW – South Jordan | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | $1,370 |
| Cascade Warehouse | 24 | 16 | 66.7% | $1,506 |
| SW – Payson | 23 | 14 | 60.9% | $1,592 |
| SW – Riverton | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | $616 |
| SW – Heber | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | $1,061 |
| SW – Grand Junction, CO | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | $3,494 |
| SW – West Jordan | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | $1,055 |
Showing branches with 15+ paint POs. Several very-low-volume branches show 100% rates on 1–3 orders — statistical noise, excluded from interpretation.
Distinct from the volume story, these low-volume branches reorder 40–67% of the time. The dollars are small, but rates that high suggest a systematic under-ordering or process issue worth a direct look:
| Branch | Paint POs | Reorder rate |
|---|---|---|
| Cascade Warehouse | 24 | 66.7% |
| SW – Payson | 23 | 60.9% |
| SW – Saratoga Springs | 30 | 60.0% |
| SW – West Jordan | 18 | 44.4% |
| SW – Spanish Fork | 32 | 43.8% |
| SW – Heber | 19 | 42.1% |
A natural question is whether a 15% buffer simply pays for itself by eliminating reorders. The two are close in size — but they aren't interchangeable. A bump adds paint to every order; reorders happen on only about 1 in 4, and only the shortage portion could be prevented by ordering more up front.
Breaking the $123K of six-month reorder spend down by reason:
| Reorder reason | <
|---|